Like Rome, the structure of racing wasn�t built in a day.
Neither was it conceived by one man. Racing�s basic concept is intricate and
extremely clever; the result of cumulative findings and corrections that
developed over a period of many years.
The start of modern thoroughbred racing goes back to the
middle of the 19th century when a knowledgeable Englishman named John
Francis Rouse conceived "The Scale of Weights." The intent of this device
was to equalize, at least in theory, the chances of all horses by making
weight allowances for age, sex and distances being run.
With more than reasonable consistency it serves the purpose.
It keeps horses of varying abilities within their proper niche i.e., maidens
run against maidens; 2-and 3-year-olds compete in their rightful age
bracket, etc. Other factors, however, are also considered by the track
handicapper when he writes his Condition Book.Example: Amounts of previous
purse money that has been won.
The basics of the weight scale, in modified form, are used today
by the track secretary/handicapper at each race track. It is the plinth
stone that he works from when making up his Condition Book for each meet.
This Condition Book is frequently referred to as "The Horseman�s Bible," and
with good reason. Without this book a trainer would not know in what race he
could advantageously or even logically place his horse. It also can be the
tip off to handicappers as to a trainer�s intentions. The fan should study
the conditions involved in each race just as assiduously as the horseman
must.
A reading of each race�s conditions, and a brief analysis of
those conditions should enable the bettor to quickly decide if an animal is
or is not well placed. An obvious example: If a race�s condition reads, "For
non-winners of two since February first," and Horse A hasn�t won even one
race since February first, it certainly is not well placed, and would
indicate the trainer is either incompetent or (more likely) not seriously
concerned about winning.
A trainer�s intentions can frequently be guessed at by noting
slightly more subtle facts. Example: Horse B, according to the various
conditions involved, should be getting 12 pounds off scale weight. The
trainer fails to take full advantage of his horse�s rightful allowances.
Maybe the apprentice being used should be getting a five-pound allowance and
the trainer is only taking a three-pound "bug" allowance. This means the
animal is carrying 14 pounds instead of only twelve.
Common sense would dictate that this mere two pound variation
is unlikely to make much difference to a 1,200 pound athlete (horse) that
usually competes only when it is in superb physical condition. Nonetheless,
the conditioner�s seeming lack of concern in failing to take every possible
advantage, could well indicate the stable�s intention.
Horsemen tend to be a superstitious lot and deeply imbedded in
their psyche is the concept of advantageous weight allowances. When such
allowances are not taken advantage of it should serve as a red flag, a
warning to, "Be careful."
Our next Handicapping Hints will discuss the frequently
difficult job that the track�s secretary/handicapper has in making up his
condition book, and why he often is the key to a successful or unsuccessful
race meet.
(No. 17 of HANDICAPPING HINTS should appear on or about November 15th)
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